Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.045020 0.051697 0.058659 0.066428 0.074824 0.083598 0.093430
2025-03-23 0.035373 0.045236 0.056186 0.069099 0.083767 0.099779 0.118450
2025-03-30 0.028519 0.040211 0.053927 0.070852 0.090839 0.113381 0.140421
2025-04-06 0.024333 0.037388 0.053439 0.073987 0.098992 0.127891 0.163282
2025-04-13 0.019700 0.033175 0.050567 0.073654 0.102565 0.136739 0.179376
2025-04-20 0.018125 0.032685 0.052151 0.078651 0.112484 0.153077 0.204336
2025-04-27 0.014530 0.028815 0.048842 0.077016 0.113874 0.158916 0.216630
2025-05-04 0.012939 0.027626 0.048969 0.079716 0.120639 0.171288 0.236837
2025-05-11 0.010668 0.025018 0.046816 0.079121 0.122984 0.178066 0.250153
2025-05-18 0.009470 0.023972 0.046782 0.081327 0.128935 0.189355 0.269073
2025-05-25 0.008292 0.022766 0.046371 0.082901 0.133988 0.199492 0.286593
2025-06-01 0.006450 0.019999 0.043281 0.080414 0.133384 0.202243 0.294749
2025-06-08 0.004708 0.017108 0.039843 0.077418 0.132253 0.204646 0.303011
2025-06-15 0.004149 0.016614 0.040353 0.080379 0.139523 0.218255 0.325884
2025-06-22 0.003516 0.015796 0.040218 0.082314 0.145364 0.230046 0.346555
2025-06-29 0.003154 0.015552 0.041059 0.085763 0.153396 0.244830 0.371222
2025-07-06 0.002426 0.014110 0.039561 0.085398 0.155869 0.252131 0.386180
2025-07-13 0.002371 0.014578 0.041670 0.090885 0.166930 0.271138 0.416581
2025-07-20 0.001690 0.012864 0.039400 0.089091 0.167216 0.275455 0.427690
2025-07-27 0.001479 0.012622 0.040006 0.092053 0.174564 0.289473 0.451675
2025-08-03 0.001071 0.011426 0.038526 0.091399 0.176443 0.295941 0.465666
2025-08-10 0.000901 0.011105 0.038849 0.093818 0.182969 0.308878 0.488336
2025-08-17 0.000723 0.010634 0.038791 0.095542 0.188434 0.320359 0.509109